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EDEL CAPITAL: Moody's Affirms US$250 Million LPNs at Ba1
Moody's Investors Service assigned a Ba1 corporate family rating to OAO Svyazinvestneftekhim, a holding company for the Republic of Tatarstan's key assets.
At the same time, Moody's affirmed the existing Ba1 rating of the US$250 million LPNs issued by Edel Capital S.A. for the sole purpose of financing its loan to Sinek Capital S.A., a subsidiary of SINEK. The outlook on the ratings is stable.
Being 100% owned by the Republic of Tatarstan, SINEK is a government-related issuer. Its Ba1 corporate family rating reflects the application of Moody's methodology for GRIs, with the combination of the following inputs:
-- Baseline credit assessment in the range of 14 to 16 (on a 1-21 scale, where 1 represents lowest credit risk), which corresponds to the B category;
-- Ba1 local currency rating of the Republic of Tatarstan;
-- High dependence;
-- High support.
SINEK's BCA is underpinned by:
(i) its position as an investment vehicle for the Republic of Tatarstan to own and manage the relationship with key companies operating on the territory of the Republic, including SINEK's important role in attracting external funds for and facilitating investments in the Republic's social and economic programs;
(ii) representation of strong businesses with sustainable revenue stream in SINEK's portfolio, including Tatneft (Russia's sixth largest oil company, not rated) and Nizhnekamskneftekhim (or NKNK, a large Russian petrochemical company rated B1/Stable); this is accompanied by SINEK's strong influence over the dividend payments of the companies in its portfolio, benefiting from a strong board representation as well as a golden share in addition to blocking stakes in its major holdings;
(iii) currently overall favorable market environment for SINEK's major portfolio companies in the oil and energy sectors;
(iv) interest income from SINEK's long-term bank deposits more than offsetting the debt interest expense.
However, the company's BCA is constrained by these factors:
(i) risks of significant regional, industry and single company concentrations, with SINEK's direct and indirect shareholding in Tatneft representing approximately 60% of its total portfolio and dividends from Tatneft accounting for 82% of SINEK's total dividends in 2006, thus making SINEK's revenues sensitive to oil prices;
(ii) limited visibility whether SINEK's portfolio companies as well as the Republic will comply with the Republic's latest guideline for a 30% dividend payout for its companies in the face of large investment needs of the companies;
(iii) SINEK's debt, though relatively moderate compared to its portfolio value, remains significant vs. its cash revenue stream of dividends and interest received;
(iv) risks associated with SINEK's plans to establish new shareholding in the real state sector, though under the Republic's guidance, including potential increase in leverage;
(v) limited amount of marketable and liquid shareholdings in the company's portfolio and potentially a high volatility of the portfolio;
(vi) still developing corporate standards, complex corporate structures, limited transparency of financial policy at the portfolio companies and in the holding;
(vii) yet limited track record of operations.
The high dependence reflects the role of SINEK as a quasi government agency and the influence government has on the management of the holding and its participations, the significance of the portfolio companies to the economy of Tatarstan and the fact that both entities are highly correlated with oil prices with Tatneft being the largest single taxpayer for the Republic's budget. It also reflects the existence of a cross default clause between SINEK, SINEK Capital and the Republic of Tatarstan.
High support reflects the company's importance for the Republic of Tatarstan as a financing vehicle, its legal status and its ownership structure with a 100% state-ownership, and the high representation of the Republic's top officials at the Board of Directors (three out of eight members, including the Prime Minister of the Republic chairing the Board). The highest extent of support is confirmed by a guarantee provided by the Republic on SINEK's foreign debt represented by Edel Capital's LPNs as well as the company's access to low-interest loans from the Ministry of Finance of the Republic.
SINEK's liquidity is at acceptable level due to a low amount of its short-term debt. As of June 30, 2007, the company's cash of RUB53.6 million covered 84% of its short-term debt. However, 60% of this short-term debt was represented by a loan from the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Tatarstan. Increasing leverage might put pressure on liquidity, however Moody's understands that SINEK will seek for long-term debt at interest levels which could be offset by interest income earned.
Edel Capital's LPNs are fully guaranteed by the Republic of Tatarstan. The latter's unconditional guarantee of RUR13 billion is at the moment equivalent to almost 2.0 of the amount of the notes.
The stable outlook on the ratings reflects Moody's expectation that the company will maintain its role of the Republic of Tatarstan's asset manager and to attract funds to implement the Republic's strategy. No changes in the ownership are expected.
The rating and the outlook are dependent on those of the Republic of Tatarstan and very sensitive to changes in support from the Republic. A decrease of support from the Republic will have a negative impact on SINEK's ratings. Any change in the Republic's rating or outlook will result in the same change of the ratings on SINEK and Edel Capital's LPNs.
SINEK was set up in 2003 as a 100% state owned investment holding company of the Republic of Tatarstan to hold its stakes industrial and financial businesses (22 businesses at the moment), essentially in the sector of oil production, petrochemicals, power generation and telecommunications. SINEK's six largest investments (Tatneft, Tatenergo, North-West Trunk Pipelines, Tattelecom, NKNK, and Kazanorgsintez) account for about 97% of the portfolio valuation (US$ 5.9 billion as of June 30, 2007). Dividends from Tatneft, NKNK, Kazanorgsintez and Tattelecom accounted for approximately 98% of SINEK first half 2007 U.S. GAAP dividend income.
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